A personal blog of mine, which may show what I am upto now-a-days.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Passing of a Colleague, a Friend

Today I got a sad news that one of my colleague, Fayyaz Ahmed in WAPDA died last year due to cardiac arrest. He was 40, and was married a few years back. Ina Lillah-e-Wa Ina Aleh-e- Rajeoon.

We were in the same batch of WAPDA induction, 1992 batch. He was sincere, friendly, hard working and intelligent. He had two Masters Degrees, one in Structure Engineering from UET Lahore and one in Water Resources from Delft, Netherland. He was promoted to the rank of XEn, just a few days before the death and was waiting for posting.

When I left WAPDA (2001), he replaced me in GM P&D Office, and even afterwards, I used to go to him and had good conversation on cups of tea.

My last meeting with him was in Feb 2006, when I visited Pakistan for my PhD data collection. He helped me in all respects. Even till his death he was in touch with me through emails. Since last few Eid's my good wishes to him are being Bounced Back. I could not think that he is no more in this World. What I thought was that he might have gone abroad for another course/PhD.

Today a common friend on my inquiry told that he is no more in this world.

Aey Moat Tujhay Moat he Aaie Hoti..............

Saturday, October 25, 2008

If we could...

"....If we could produce electric effects of the required quality, this whole planet and the conditions of existence on it could be transformed. The sun raises the water of the oceans and winds drive it to distant regions where it remains in state of most delicate balance. If it were in our power to upset it when and wherever desired, this mighty life-sustaining stream could be at will controlled. We could irrigate arid deserts, create lakes and rivers and provide motive power in unlimited amount. This would be the most efficient way of harnesing the sun to the uses of man......" ( Nikola Tesla, June 1919 )

Friday, October 24, 2008

Pakistani Dance on this Eid at AIT

Wish the spirit of brotherhood at AIT last for ever.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Pakistan as the RISING STAR in field of Engineering, Mathematics

Ref: http://sciencewatch.com/dr/rs/08mar-rs/

Well Done Pakistan.
Well Done HEC
Well Done Dr. Atta ur Rehman

The 22 countries named as Rising Stars in their fields are given in the table below:

Country Field
TUNISIA Agricultural Sciences
NIGERIA Biology & Biochemistry
SERBIA MONTENEG Chemistry
IRAN Clinical Medicine
ALGERIA Computer Science
TUNISIA Economics & Business
PAKISTAN Engineering
ECUADOR Environment/Ecology
JORDAN Geosciences
IRAN Immunology
LEBANON Materials Science
PAKISTAN Mathematics
MALAYSIA Microbiology
IRAN Molecular Biology & Genetics
CHILE Multidisciplinary
JORDAN Neuroscience & Behavior
BANGLADESH Pharmacology & Toxicology
THAILAND Physics
ETHIOPIA Plant & Animal Science
TRINID & TOBAGO Psychiatry/Psychology
IRAN Social Sciences, general
NAMIBIA Space Science

Friday, October 17, 2008

Dissertation Submitted

Alhamdo Lillah, today i am able to throw the dissertation out to External Examiner. Again wait and see game is started.

Dams: Engines of Growth

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Dont miss salat

nice

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Khailtay khailtay cut jain rastay ...







Kia AIT mani khailnay aaey thay????

Thankyou Prof. Asim Das Gupta



Thankyou for the knowledge you shared, for the devoted teachings, and for all of your love for your students. Thank you sir.

Abstract of my Dissertation

Title:
RESERVOIR OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION WITH SEDIMENT EVACUATION MODEL: A CASE STUDY OF THE TARBELA DAM, PAKISTAN

Abstract:
Reduction of appropriate sites for new reservoirs and the socio-environmental concerns have resulted in reduction of new water storage projects around the world. This slow augmentation of water storing capacities has increased the need of efficient and sustainable sediment evacuation from reservoirs. Many reservoirs around the world are being operated based on rule curves which are not providing sustainable operation of the reservoirs. These rule curves were developed using simulation techniques alone or using optimization models ignoring the sedimentation process while optimization. As such current reservoir simulation and optimization models fall short of incorporating the concept of sustainability, as the reservoir storage losses due to sedimentation are not considered.
The present study develops a new reservoir simulation model with genetic algorithm (GA) based optimization capabilities and module to calculate sediment evacuation during simulation. The model developed in present study is called as Reservoir Optimization-Simulation with Sediment Evacuation (ROSSE) Model. Sediments evacuated during each time step, in the model, are estimated either by the Tsinghua University equation for flushing or through coupling of the GSTARS3 model. Due to huge amount of computational time required by the GSTARS3 embedded in the GA, this study only presents the results using Tsinghua equation.
The irrigation based operation policy, selected in the model, releases the full irrigation demands if the reservoir level is between upper and lower rule curves (normal zone). The released water for irrigation is used for power production and the sediment evacuation. No release quota is fixed specifically for sediment evacuation purpose or flushing.
The optimization model in the present study is capable to optimize the rule curves both for single and multi objective criteria, minimization and maximization objectives, and with or without constraints. Hybrid GA, Elite GA, multiple ways of constraints handling, multiple selection operators (biased roulette wheel, tournament), multiple mutation operators (uniform, modified uniform), and multiple crossover operators (single, double, uniform) are distinguished features of the optimization model. The simulation and sediment evacuation modules are verified against the observed releases, water levels and reservoir storages, while the GA module is verified through De-Jong’s test functions.
The ROSSE model is applied to optimize the rule curves of the Tarbela Reservoir Pakistan. Ten daily inflows to the reservoir for a period of 1974 to 2003 are utilized to incorporate the stochastic effects of the inflows implicitly. The Tsinghua equation coefficient is calibrated using the observed sediment concentration data at various outlets of the dam for a period from 1984-2004. For low levels of the reservoir when such observed data is not available, the values recommended by Atkinson are utilized.
Two applications of the ROSSE model are described in the dissertation. Firstly, optimal rule curves are obtained for maximization of net economic benefits from various components namely: water release for irrigation, power production, storage conservation by sediment evacuation and flood dis-benefits. Eight sets of the optimized rule curves are compared against the existing rule curves. In multi-objective optimization, the net benefits from irrigation release and sediment evacuation are always assigned first and second priorities. The simulation using optimized rule curves demonstrates an increase of net individual economic benefits in the range of 9% to 248% over the existing rule curves, while there is a small improvement of 8% in the total net economic benefits. The small increase in total net economic benefits is due to a small improvement in hydropower which is the main contributing factor. Shortage of irrigation supply is also reduced by 43% and sediment evacuation is improved up to 28% to enhance the reservoir sustainability. The results point out that the reservoir operation can be improved if the reservoir is drawn down twice in a year, once in February to March and next in June.
Second application of the ROSSE model optimizes the rule curves for minimization of irrigation deficits per year, with constraints of production of current level of hydropower and current level of sediment evacuation. A reduction in irrigation deficits of about 24% is computed through simulation of optimized rule curves and existing rule curves. This reduction is attributed to storage conservation through sediment evacuation and optimized rule curves.
A sensitivity analysis of nine different GA parameters is carried out to select the optimum values. It is found that the best results after 100 generations are obtained with population size of 200 strings, with probability of crossover of 0.70, and with mutation probability of 0.035.
The study has shown the successful integration of sediment evacuation with simulation and optimization model. The study also concludes that there is plenty of scope for sustainable operation (through sediment evacuation) of the reservoir while there is a marginal scope of enhancement of economic benefit. It is also found that the use of the Tsinghua University flushing equation is quite satisfactory for computational intensive GA model and simulation based optimization of the rule curves. The developed methodology and the model can be used for optimization of rule curves of other reservoirs with sedimentation problems.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

THE 2008 ZARAGOZA CHARTER: Water and Sustainable Development

1. That the Earth’s water and ecosystems must be preserved and protected.
2. That access to drinking water and sanitation is a human right that must be guaranteed by all public authorities.
3. That by accepting Millennium Development Goals, the Earth’s nations have pledged a serious commitment to water-related issues.
4. That access to water has an enormous influence on development.
5. That water plays a fundamental role in the production and transfer of energy.
6. That there will be an ever-increasing demand for water, mainly due to the growth of the population and the economy, all of which may result in a bigger “water footprint”.
7. That forecasts show that climate change is capable of modifying the availability and demand for water all over the planet.
8. That current technologies make it possible to produce fresh water from sea water and fog, as well as to regenerate and reuse it, at reasonable prices and with less environmental impact.
9. That the durability and transformation of rural areas are directly linked to the availability and sustainable use made of water.
10. That the sustainable production of food is directly linked to the efficient use of water.
11. That education, culture, communications and participation must form the basis of the transformation in the management of the world’s water resources.
12. That it is essential to strengthen all levels of governance in order to bring about integrated water management and sustainability, which implies the greater participation and sharing of responsibilities by society.
13. That river basins are the best suited environments for harnessing water and their good management makes it possible to resolve conflicts between countries, regions and users.
14. That ensuring channels of financing and ways of sharing financial risks, using criteria of sustainability, is essential to the success of initiatives and actions in the water sector.
15. That the investment in water infrastructures in developing countries is essential in order to reduce poverty and to bring about economic growth and that current levels of investment fall short of those set by the Millennium Development Goals.
16. That the public authorities must take the initiative in promoting the legislation and arrangements required to ensure access to water by all.
17. That research, development and innovation are the cornerstones that underpin our knowledge, solutions, well-being and sustainability in water-related issues.

The Water Tribune RECOMMENDS:
A. AS GENERAL PRINCIPLES
A1. That the development of societies should be based on sustainable and environmentally friendly criteria.
A2. That priorities must be set and commitments made with regard to water that are in the general interests of humanity, and that are founded on ethical sustainability principles, transparency, and intra- and inter-generational equality.
A3. That water management schemes should promote community participation, efficiency and solidarity through shared knowledge and experiences, whose end purpose is to being about individual and collective awareness.
A4. That commitments and regulations should be established to mitigate the negative effects of climate change and extreme weather events, and to adapt to such circumstances.
A5. That solutions and water management schemes must adapt to the rate of development, the culture, the social environment and economic climate of each region and society.
A6. That the basic management units of water resources should be river basins and aquifers, even in cases in which they are of a supranational nature.
A7. That every individual must have access to safe drinking water and proper sanitation, both in rural and urban areas, through the acceptance of global commitments, the setting of realistic targets and the adoption of specific solutions.
A8. That the supply of drinking water and the collection and treatment of wastewater are priority issues. Public administrations must provide these services at a fair price and also be in a position to cover their costs.
A9. That the management of demand must be at least as important and the management of offer in decisions on policies, strategies, plans, programmes and budgets.
A10. That the research, development and innovation in water-related technologies must be encouraged, and that the transfer of results and benefits to society must be speeded up.
A11. That a World Water Agency must be set up whose main missions would be:
a) To draw up and present the Charter of the Rights and Responsibilities of Human Beings with Water to the United Nations.
b) To devise a universal framework of standards on water within the context of sustainable development that is recognised by all countries.
c) To prepare and promote the development of the International Convention on Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events and Risk Management for dealing with water resources.
d) To encourage the approval of the International Protocol for the Pacific and Productive Management of Cross-border River Basins in the world.
e) To help countries that ask for support in the integrated management of water.
f) To foster the knowledge, principles and values, in coherence with the above, that will lead to acceptable ethics of water.
g) To promote the efficient and global dissemination and exchange of good practices, lessons learnt, models, reproducible processes and experiences that have been successful, and to issue recommendations though an information and knowledge transfer centre about water and sustainable development.
h) To encourage alliances between the public and private sectors that make it possible to join forces so that universal water supplies and sanitation become a reality.

B. TO THE PUBLIC AUTHORITIES, USERS OF WATER AND CITIZENS
B1. That ecosystems be effectively protected for their intrinsic values and to guarantee the durability of sources of water.
B2. That basic sanitation and wastewater treatment services be provided to match local realities, which attain world standards of sanitation that ensure health, hygiene and wellbeing.
B3. That measures be adopted to guarantee a basic water supply to all homes or as close to them as possible. In situations of poverty, governments must guarantee a minimum supply of water.
B4. That legal systems and the regulations drawn up take non-detrimental cultural habits and the ancestral rights of local communities into consideration.
B5. That the management of public water and sanitation services be under the control of public authorities.
B6. That the demand for water should be monitored to fit in with educational, informational, participative and tariff-based criteria.
B7. That delays in water supplies reaching rural areas should be shortened through the exchange of experiences and participative management schemes, which should be adapted to and accepted by the communities using them.
B8. That technologies be promoted and applied to bring about water savings, desalination and sea water applications, the harvesting of fog and rain, and the purification, regeneration and reuse of water. Such technologies should be energy-efficient with a low environmental impact in order to reach sustainable energy targets.
B9. That given the anticipated figures in population growth, countries should consider agriculture to be both an economic and strategic sector.
B10. That measures be devised and disseminated to improve irrigation systems through a more efficient use of water energy.
B11. That viable funding schemes with guarantees be drawn up between countries and institutions. They should provide for the possibility of attracting capital from the market for investments in the water infrastructures necessary to provide public supply and sanitation services, as well as attracting the human resources required to do so.
B12. That rational economic criteria be applied that promote efficiency and sustainability, which should likewise adopt the principles of social and environmental justice in the management of water.
B13. That integrated policies be set to facilitate the allocation of water for its various uses, providing that in doing so economic efficiency and environmental quality are favoured.
B14. That all citizens share the responsibility of the integrated management of water and sustainability.
B15. That citizens come to realise that water is the heritage of all living beings, not just a resource for human use.


Zaragoza, 14 September 2008
Closing Day of the 2008 Zaragoza International Exhibition

Friday, October 3, 2008

Thursday, October 2, 2008

A nice Saraiki Ghazal by Shakir Shuja Abbadi

A nice Saraiki Ghazal by Shakir Shuja Abbadi

Fikar da sijh ubharda hay – suchainde shaam thi waindi
Khyalaan wich skoon aj kal gulainde, shaam thi waindi

Unhaan day baal saari rat ronden – Bukh tu sumday nehen
Jinhan di kahin day baalan koon kidhanday, shaam thi waindi

Gharibaan di duaa yarab – khabar nahi kin karainda hain
Sadaa hanjooaan di tasbeeh koon phirainday, shaam thi waindi

Kadn taan dukh wi tal waisen, kadhan tan sukh day sah walsen
Pulah khali khiyalan day pakenday shaam thi waindi

Meda Raziq riayat kar, Nimazan raat di kar day
Jo roti shaam di puri krainday, shaam di waindi

Main Shakir bhuk da mara haan - magar Hatim tun ghet kainni
Qalam khairaat hey medi - chalainday shaam thi waindi